G-2 Rep: The enemy as described in the CJTF-T OPORD remains primarily unchanged. This is what we think the Libyan forces will look like on D- Day. The Libyan Western Operations Group or WOG, has placed the 202nd and 204th Mechanized Infantry Brigades of its first operational echelon 5 miles south of highway 13 along the Demilitarized Zone, at SFax and west in the vicinity of highway 2. A battalion of the 205th Mechanized Infantry Brigade should also remain in position near highway 3 along the D-M-Z. The 401st Independent Artillery Regiment has been placed in a supporting position just west of the Mezzouna Oil Fields. The 102nd Armor Brigade forms a blocking position southeast of the Mezzouna Oil Fields along coastal highway 1. The rest of the 205th has been positioned south of the Mezzouna Oil Fields with the 103rd Armor Brigade placed just to the east of Gafsa along highway 15. The WOG has stretched the second operational echelon from Gabes south to Tripoli, primarily along highway 1 in doctrinal formation to form a second defensive belt. They are concentrated between Gabes and Zuwarah.
(g) (U) Libyan Courses of Action (COAs)
1 (U) Most Likely COA. Intent is to retain oil fields for as long as possible as a bargaining chip while simultaneously inflicting maximum casualties on US forces to erode US domestic support. 1st Echelon forces will defend the Mezzouna Oil Field in strength from prepared positions making maximum use of minefields and obstacles. 1st Echelon forces will retain the ability to withdraw, however the focus will be on maintaining a presence in the vicinity of (IVO) the oil fields for as long as possible. A second defensive belt, comprising 2nd Echelon forces, is centered on the Gabes-Medinine corridor, and will provide support to withdrawing 1st Echelon forces and form the base from which to commence a delaying retrograde action to the Libyan border. Indigenous insurgent groups will be encouraged to support Libyan operations by harassing Coalition Lines of Communications (LOCs) and vulnerable targets in rear areas. Insurgent actions will be supported by Libyan Special Operations Forces (SOF) elements and stay behind WOG elements. Authority for use of Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) remains with the Chief of State; likely triggers are threat of destruction of the WOG, and/or threat of invasion of Libya by US forces.
2 (U) Most Dangerous COA. Intent is for a protracted and deliberate campaign to inflict maximum casualties to erode US domestic support and resolve diplomatic negotiations on terms favorable to Libya that include unrestricted rights to the Mezzouna oil fields. 2nd Echelon (-) will occupy prepared defensive positions IVO Mezzouna Oil Field to delay US forces, however they will not become decisively engaged and will, on order, withdraw to a second defensive belt IVO Medinine. 1st Echelon, as the main effort, will close the Gabes gap and defend from prepared positions IVO Gabes, enhancing the natural canalizing features of the Gabes-Medinine corridor with minefields and obstacles, to inflict significant casualties on advancing US forces. Arty and Air Defense Regiments will be massed for maximum effect in support of the main defensive battle. Dismounted Motor Rifle brigades will be tasked with conducting unconventional warfare operations to support Libyan SOF elements, to harass extended Coalition LOCs, destroy vulnerable targets, and foment and coordinate a deliberate indigenous insurgency campaign to undermine US efforts and Tunisian efforts. Authority for use of WMD remains with the Chief of State; likely triggers are threat of destruction of the WOG, and/or threat of invasion of Libya by US forces.